One geophysicist sees bright future for fracking, pending regulation

Mark Zoback, geophysicist at Stanford University. Photo Credit: Stanford University.

Mark Zoback, geophysicist at Stanford University. Photo Credit: Stanford University.

Mark Zoback, a geophysicist at Stanford University, cringes at the word “fracking”. He doesn’t oppose this controversial process of extracting fossil fuels from shale rock, or hydraulic fracturing. He just laments the stigma of its nickname.

“I am a very strong believer that shale gas can be produced in an environmentally responsible way, and it’s extremely important that we do so,” Zoback said during a lecture held by the Northern California Science Writer’s Association in San Francisco on April 17th. “It’s an essential component of our energy mix for the first half of this century before we can hopefully get away from fossil fuels altogether.”

Zoback’s optimism did not seem to immediately resonate with his Bay Area audience. Californians, like many citizens across the country, are increasingly wary of the push to extract untapped gas and oil in this way, particularly within their already water-stressed land. They fear the pollution associated with fracking, and its potential threat to their health and to the state’s agricultural economy.

But Zoback dismisses these apprehensions as ill-informed. He has studied geophysics with an emphasis on shale gas and oil production for more than 30 years and, in 2011, sat on a committee appointed by U.S. Secretary of Energy Steven Chu to inform President Obama of the environmental risks associated with fracking. The committee concluded that, with thoughtful engineering and robust regulations, fracking can, indeed, be done safely.

“The three keys to developing shale gas in an environmentally responsible manner are well construction, well construction, and well construction,” Zoback said.

Some Californians worry that toxic fracking fluid could leak out of deep cracks and contaminate drinking water, regardless of how the wells are constructed higher up. But Zoback argued that, while this may be a risk elsewhere in the world, it is not a serious threat in the U.S.. Our frackable shale lies about one mile underground. This provides a safe buffer between the toxic fluids and aquifer water, he said.

Still, problems can — and do — occur closer to the surface. If companies don’t line their well-heads properly, gas and toxic liquids can leak out of the casing and travel upward into groundwater. The American Petroleum Institute acknowledges this, and recommends that companies line the upper portion of their wells with steel casing and a 500-foot-long layer of cement. Zoback thinks additional steel layers, and up to 2,000 feet of cement, would be even better. The API, however, has not yet made an effort to improve regulations, for what Zoback considers to be economic reasons.

“It’s really unfortunate,” Zoback said during his talk. “[Fracking] is a complicated process, and it needs to be done properly and needs to be regulated properly.”

In California, the Senate is currently considering a bill that would create new state fracking regulations, including restrictions on water use and disposal. And, earlier this month, the Sierra Club and the Center for Biological Diversity — an Arizona-based environmental law nonprofit with an office in San Francisco — won a lawsuit against the federal Bureau of Land Management for failing to adequately assess the environmental impacts of leasing land to oil and gas companies planning to hydraulically fracture California plots in 2011.

Finding neither those movements nor Zoback’s optimism reassuring, some skeptics in the audience last week challenged the speaker’s reasoning. The speed and magnitude of the expected surge in California fracking could pose unforeseen environmental issues, one audience member pointed out. Others doubted that new regulations would be as robust as they need to be.

Zoback remained resolutely optimistic.

“I think like an engineer,” he said. “I look at a system, identify the problems, and then I try to find solutions to the problems. If there are problems associated with hydraulic fracturing, I will seek solutions.”

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